Derby County U23 vs Arsenal U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 1
DER
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 1
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
TOT
3 - 1
DER
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
BHA
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 3
ARS
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 0
LEI
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 3
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |