Derby County U18 vs Wolves U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
4º
4º
24
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
STO
3 - 3
DER
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DER
0 - 3
NEW
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
1 - 4
DER
32%
21%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DER
0 - 3
SUN
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 3
DER
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
WOL
2 - 2
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BLA
2 - 1
WOL
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
WOL
0 - 1
MAN
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LIV
4 - 2
WOL
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
LEE
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |