Derby County U18 vs Wolves U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
4º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
DER
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DER
5 - 3
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
MID
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
MCI
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +7 |
Matches
Wolves U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 3
WOL
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 1
BLA
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MID
2 - 1
WOL
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
WOL
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WOL
5 - 2
LEE
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |