Derby County U18 vs Stoke City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
4º
4º
27
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 3
DER
27%
21%
53%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
63%
18%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LEE
5 - 0
DER
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Stoke City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
NOT
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
STO
4 - 2
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 3
MCI
6%
15%
80%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STO
3 - 5
BLA
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |