Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
4º
27
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 6
DER
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DER
1 - 6
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
DER
22%
20%
58%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DER
5 - 2
BLA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EVE
1 - 3
DER
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
DER
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 1
MID
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MID
0 - 2
STO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
MID
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
MID
48%
21%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |