Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
6º
30
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
MCI
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 6
DER
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 3
DER
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
DER
5 - 2
LIV
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MID
2 - 1
WOL
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
MID
0 - 2
MAN
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
EVE
3 - 0
MID
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
MID
41%
22%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MID
1 - 2
MCI
9%
15%
76%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |