Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NOT
0 - 1
DER
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEE
7 - 0
DER
31%
22%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DER
5 - 1
LEE
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MID
0 - 2
NOT
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
MID
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 0
MID
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MID
2 - 6
LIV
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |