Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 0
DER
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
MAN
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 3
DER
18%
18%
64%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 3
DER
51%
20%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
LIV
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MID
2 - 1
WOL
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 1
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MID
1 - 2
MCI
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MID
1 - 0
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
2 - 0
MID
65%
18%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |