Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WBA
2 - 1
DER
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 2
DER
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DER
4 - 0
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EVE
3 - 0
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
MID
2 - 2
DER
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 1
MID
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MID
3 - 0
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MID
1 - 1
WOL
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STO
0 - 2
MID
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 3
MID
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |