Derby County U18 vs Everton U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 3
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 0
DER
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
3 - 5
DER
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
WBA
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EVE
3 - 2
WOL
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
2 - 0
EVE
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EVE
3 - 2
BLA
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
EVE
0 - 2
SUN
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MCI
6 - 1
EVE
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |