Derby County U18 vs Blackburn Rovers U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 2
DER
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DER
1 - 2
WOL
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
DER
3 - 0
BRE
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
COV
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
QPR
44%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
5 - 1
BLA
55%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 4
MCI
15%
20%
66%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |