Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
MID
1 - 2
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
DER
4 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
BAR
0 - 1
DER
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
SOU
0 - 0
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
OLD
2 - 1
HUL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
DAR
1 - 0
OLD
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
SWA
3 - 3
OLD
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
BPO
2 - 1
OLD
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
OLD
0 - 0
SWA
43%
23%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |