Derby County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
HUL
0 - 1
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
POS
2 - 1
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
DER
3 - 3
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
HUR
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 2
DER
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 3
QPR
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BPO
3 - 0
MID
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
FUL
1 - 1
MID
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
MID
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |