Walter Ferretti vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
30
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
JAP
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 5
EST
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 1
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 2
CDS
8%
16%
75%
|
57 | 19 | 38 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
CDS
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
33%
24%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |