Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
5º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 3
WAL
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
UNA
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 0
WAL
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
MFC
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
CDS
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
EST
18%
26%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EST
5 - 0
JAP
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
UNA
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |