Walter Ferretti vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
21
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
JAP
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ORM
3 - 2
JAP
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
3 - 1
DEP
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +9 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
4 - 1
ORM
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 2
CDS
8%
16%
75%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |