Walter Ferretti vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
9º
4º
18
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
DIR
1 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RSA
1 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
WAL
1 - 3
DEP
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
WAL
0 - 0
MFC
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
DEP
2 - 2
WAL
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
JAP
2 - 2
DIR
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
3 - 1
JAP
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 2
EST
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |