Deportivo Tepic vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
TEP
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 0
NEC
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TEP
13%
17%
70%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TEP
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 0
TIJ
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 1
MUR
66%
22%
11%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
AUR
20%
26%
55%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TEP
13%
17%
70%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ATS
4 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |