Deportivo Tepic vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 3
ALE
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
TEP
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
0 - 1
TEP
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
TEP
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
TEP
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 4
REY
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |