Deportivo Tepic vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
TEP
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
3 - 2
TEP
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
TEP
1 - 1
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TEP
1 - 1
UAP
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
TEP
3 - 2
AME
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 1
UAT
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CIM
3 - 0
UAP
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOB
3 - 2
CIM
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 0
TAM
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 3
CIM
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |