Deportivo Tepic vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 1
TEP
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 0
ALT
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
AGU
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
ALT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
COR
0 - 2
CIM
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CIM
0 - 2
CIU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |