Deportivo Tepic JAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IRA
5 - 4
TEP
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 0
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 2
TEP
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 4
ZAC
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAZ
2 - 0
AEM
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 0
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAZ
2 - 1
IRA
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PAC
2 - 2
CAZ
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LEO
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |