Deportivo Tepic JAP vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
TEP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 1
ZAC
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 4
TAM
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
REY
4 - 1
TEP
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
DUR
4 - 2
TEP
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CIM
3 - 0
TAM
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
REY
1 - 1
CIM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 3
CIM
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CIM
0 - 0
SOL
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 2
CIM
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |