CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Deportivo Saprissa vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 0
PFC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PER
2 - 3
SAP
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 3
LFC
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BFC
0 - 4
SAP
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 2
CSH
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
RAY
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 1
OLI
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 1
OLI
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
DSA
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |