Torneo de Verano Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 6-5
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAP
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SAP
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CSH
2 - 2
SAP
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LFC
1 - 2
SAP
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SAP
0 - 5
LDA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
LDA
0 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
LDA
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LDA
4 - 1
CSC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
LDA
3 - 0
ADR
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SAP
0 - 5
LDA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |