Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
14º
8º
39
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
65.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DRZ
0 - 0
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 0
DRZ
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
DRZ
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DRZ
0 - 1
DEP
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
DRZ
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
MET
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
ANG
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MET
3 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |