Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
12º
11º
16
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ZAM
3 - 0
DRZ
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MET
2 - 0
DRZ
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
EST
3 - 0
DRZ
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 3
CFC
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 3
DRZ
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 3
CFC
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 4
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
ZAM
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CFC
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 0
CFC
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |