Dep. Quito vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 4
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
IMB
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 3
EME
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EME
3 - 0
OLM
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
EME
2 - 0
IVT
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IVT
5 - 0
EME
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EME
1 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |