Dep. Quito vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
CUE
1 - 1
QUI
38%
30%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
EME
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
LOJ
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 1
ESP
50%
28%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 0
OLM
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |