Dep. Quito vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CUE
0 - 1
QUI
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
ANZ
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
LOJ
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 0
ESP
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
CUE
0 - 0
ESP
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 2
BSC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
EME
2 - 0
ESP
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |