Dep. Quito vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
QUI
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
TRU
2 - 0
ANZ
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ANZ
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CFC
5 - 1
ANZ
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
ANZ
10 - 0
ATL
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
ANZ
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |