Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
QUI
5 - 1
CUE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LIG
1 - 3
QUI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 0
BSC
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 5
CUE
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |