Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
QUI
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
0 - 0
MAC
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
LIG
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |