Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 0
QUI
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
LIG
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
CUE
2 - 3
QUI
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
OLM
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
OLM
0 - 0
MAC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
IMB
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
4 - 0
BSC
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |