Dep. Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
RIV
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
BSC
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
3 - 3
BSC
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
4 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 1
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EME
3 - 2
IVT
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |