Dep. Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAC
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
QUI
5 - 1
CUE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
EME
0 - 2
IVT
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 5
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |