Dep. Quito vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 2
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 2
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
IMB
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 2
IVT
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 3
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 1
IVT
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
2 - 3
BSC
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |