Primera Clausura Knock-outs Final
Global 2-1
Quiché vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quiché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
CON
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 3
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
4 - 0
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |