Copa Libertadores Knock-outs Last 16
Global 2-1
Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
HUI
2 - 0
PER
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 1
PER
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 0
PER
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GET
2 - 1
IVT
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 1
IVT
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 2
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 4
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 2
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |