Dep. Paraguayo vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SBA
3 - 3
DPA
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 0
SMA
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
DPA
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DPA
1 - 2
YUP
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 2
DPA
65%
23%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CBA
0 - 1
ALE
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
CAA
42%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 2
ALE
35%
28%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 2
DPA
65%
23%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |