Dep. Paraguayo vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 3
DPA
66%
21%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DPA
1 - 0
LUG
31%
27%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
DPA
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DPA
1 - 3
JUU
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
DPA
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
YUP
0 - 1
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALE
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 0
ITU
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |