Dep. Paraguayo vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CBA
2 - 0
DPA
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
DPA
1 - 1
LIN
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BER
2 - 0
DPA
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CAA
1 - 0
DPA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
DPA
1 - 0
CAD
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARQ
23%
25%
51%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
JUU
1 - 1
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LUG
0 - 3
ALE
20%
24%
55%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 1
LUG
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
CLA
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |