CD Ocotal vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
10º
9º
30
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
35%
28%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 2
DEP
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
11%
23%
67%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
CDS
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
5 - 0
CDS
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 4
CDS
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |