Deportivo Nacional vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
BRI
44%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
FAM
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
BUB
0 - 4
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
DAK
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
RCA
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
RCA
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
EST
0 - 5
BRI
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
BUB
50%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
FAM
6 - 4
EST
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |