Deportivo Nacional vs Estrella Papilon analysis

Deportivo Nacional Estrella Papilon
48 ELO 43
3.1% Tilt 12%
10513º General ELO ranking 11447º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Deportivo Nacional
22.3%
Draw
31.5%
Estrella Papilon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
Deportivo Nacional
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.5%
Win probability
Estrella Papilon
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Nacional
-56%
-54%
Estrella Papilon

ELO progression

Deportivo Nacional
Estrella Papilon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Nacional
Deportivo Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2018
BUB
Bubali
3 - 5
Deportivo Nacional
NAC
17%
21%
62%
47 33 14 0
08 Dec. 2018
NAC
Deportivo Nacional
2 - 1
Estrella Papilon
EST
44%
24%
32%
46 47 1 +1
02 Dec. 2018
RIV
River Plate
1 - 4
Deportivo Nacional
NAC
23%
22%
55%
45 33 12 +1
28 Nov. 2018
BRI
Britannia
2 - 0
Deportivo Nacional
NAC
48%
22%
29%
46 46 0 -1
24 Nov. 2018
NAC
Deportivo Nacional
3 - 1
La Fama
FAM
88%
9%
4%
47 25 22 -1

Matches

Estrella Papilon
Estrella Papilon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2018
EST
Estrella Papilon
0 - 3
Dakota
DAK
38%
24%
38%
46 49 3 0
08 Dec. 2018
NAC
Deportivo Nacional
2 - 1
Estrella Papilon
EST
44%
24%
32%
47 46 1 -1
03 Dec. 2018
BUB
Bubali
0 - 2
Estrella Papilon
EST
21%
23%
56%
46 35 11 +1
26 Nov. 2018
EST
Estrella Papilon
1 - 0
River Plate
RIV
72%
17%
11%
46 34 12 0
21 Nov. 2018
FAM
La Fama
3 - 3
Estrella Papilon
EST
10%
16%
73%
47 24 23 -1