Deportivo Murcia vs UD Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 0
DEM
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 1
DOL
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DEM
3 - 1
ROL
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
DEM
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
GIN
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 1
ROL
48%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
ALB
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 3
GIN
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CEF
1 - 2
ALB
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALB
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |