Deportivo Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
MUN
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
SBO
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 2
MUN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
LOS
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 0
MUN
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |