Deportivo Morón vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
MOR
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
STM
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
TAL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 2
MOR
31%
29%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
FEN
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ACA
48%
31%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
DEF
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |