Deportivo Merlo vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
MER
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
ITU
42%
30%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CCO
3 - 0
MER
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
CAD
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
MID
1 - 1
MER
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
LUJ
1 - 0
EXC
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
LUJ
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BER
63%
22%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
LUJ
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SBA
0 - 2
LUJ
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |