Deportivo Merlo vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MER
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 3
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAF
1 - 1
MER
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
JJU
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
MER
36%
27%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LUJ
1 - 0
CCO
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
LUJ
0 - 1
CAM
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 2
LUJ
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
LUJ
2 - 0
LAF
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LUJ
1 - 0
SMG
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |